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98L INVEST 180812 1200 39.5N 53.3W ATL 25 1016

NRL编扰

这是什么地方的扰动

NRL撤编

AL, 98, 2018081112, , BEST, 0, 395N, 590W, 20, 1016, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1018, 100, 70, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, GENESIS015, , 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 015,
AL, 98, 2018081118, , BEST, 0, 395N, 575W, 20, 1009, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, GENESIS015, , 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 015,
AL, 98, 2018081200, , BEST, 0, 395N, 560W, 15, 1016, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, GENESIS015, , 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 015,
AL, 98, 2018081206, , BEST, 0, 395N, 545W, 15, 1016, LO, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, 1018, 100, 70, 0, 0, , 0, , 0, 0, GENESIS015, , 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 015,
AL, 98, 2018081212, , BEST, 0, 395N, 533W, 25, 1016, LO, 34, NEQ, 0, 0, 0, 0, 1018, 100, 70, 0, 0, L, 0, , 0, 0, INVEST, M, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0, genesis-num, 015, SPAWNINVEST, al772018 to al982018,

就说嘛 低纬全是副高

这副高太BT了，基本上覆盖整个北大，估计只有高纬度的北大西洋暖流可以为TC提供发展空间，如果九月份和十月份还是这样的话估计今年北大没得救了，今年北大风季会向13，97，94年看齐。

1. A small, non-tropical, low pressure system located about 500 milessouth of Cape Race, Newfoundland, is producing disorganized showersand thunderstorms to the south-southeast of its center ofcirculation. This low could gradually acquire subtropical ortropical characteristics through the middle of the week while itmeanders over the central subtropical Atlantic Ocean.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

1. A broad non-tropical area of low pressure located a little more
than 600 miles south-southeast of Cape Race, Newfoundland, continues
to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
conditions are forecast to become a little more conducive for some
tropical or subtropical development by Wednesday. The system is
forecast to move northeastward over the colder waters of the North
Atlantic by late Thursday or Friday which should limit any
additional development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.

A non-tropical low pressure system located about 700 miles south
of Cape Race, Newfoundland, is producing a large area of cloudiness
and disorganized thunderstorms mainly to the east of the center.
Environmental conditions are forecast to become a somewhat more
conducive for some subtropical or tropical development by Wednesday.
The system is forecast to move northeastward over the colder waters
of the North Atlantic by late Thursday or Friday, which should limit
any additional development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent.

A low pressure system centered near 37N50W is producing a large
area of cloudiness and disorganized thunderstorms east of the
center. Environmental conditions may become conducive for some
development by Wednesday. The system is forecast to move NE over
colder waters Thursday and Friday. There is medium potential for
this low to become a tropical or subtropical cyclone during the
next 48 hours.

98L INVEST 180814 1800 36.3N 46.9W ATL 25 1013